Mehdi Khashei , Farimah Mokhatab Rafiei, Mehdi Bijari ,
Volume 23, Issue 4 (IJIEPR 2012)
Abstract
In recent years, various time series models have been proposed for financial markets forecasting. In each case, the accuracy of time series forecasting models are fundamental to make decision and hence the research for improving the effectiveness of forecasting models have been curried on. Many researchers have compared different time series models together in order to determine more efficient once in financial markets. In this paper, the performance of four interval time series models including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), fuzzy autoregressive integrated moving average (FARIMA), hybrid ANNs and fuzzy (FANN) and Improved FARIMA models are compared together. Empirical results of exchange rate forecasting indicate that the FANN model is more satisfactory than other those models. Therefore, it can be a suitable alternative model for interval forecasting of financial time series.
Fatemeh Faghidian, Mehdi Khashei, Mohammad Khalilzadeh,
Volume 33, Issue 1 (IJIEPR 2022)
Abstract
This study seeks to introduce the influential factors in controlling and dealing with uncertainty in intermittent demand. Hybrid forecasting and Grey Theory, due to their potential in facing complex nature, insufficient data, have been used simultaneously. Different modeling, unbiased weighting results have been used in estimating the safety stock(SS) by both theoretical and experimental methods. In other words, this work deals with the less studied feature of various modeling errors and their effect on SS determination and recommends its use to address the uncertainty of intermittent demand as a criterion for introducing a superior model in the field of inventory.
